Du ban la nguoi choi ca cuoc lao luyen hay moi buoc chan vao the gioi day thu thach nay, viec nam bat nhung nhan dinh xien keo nha cai hom nay luon la yeu to then chot quyet dinh thang thua. Xien keo, voi kha nang nhan doi, nhan ba loi nhuan, luon la muc tieu hap dan, nhung di kem voi no la rui ro khong he nho. Lam the nao de xay dung mot dan xien vung chac, giam thieu bat trac va toi da hoa co hoi chien thang? Bai viet nay se di sau vao nghe thuat phan tich va lua chon keo xien hieu qua nhat cho ngay hom nay.



Hieu Ro Ban Chat Cua Keo Xien: Don Bay Loi Nhuan Cao



Keo xien (hay cuoc gop) la viec ket hop nhieu Keo nha cai cuoc doc lap vao mot ve cuoc duy nhat. De thang cuoc xien, toan bo cac lua chon trong ve do deu phai "ve". Su hap dan nam o ty le tra thuong cuc cao do cac ty le cuoc duoc nhan voi nhau. Tuy nhien, su phuc tap cung nam o do: chi can mot tran dau trong chuoi bi thua, toan bo xien keo se do be.



Dieu nay doi hoi nguoi choi khong chi gioi phan tich mot tran dau ma phai co cai nhin tong the ve su on dinh cua toan bo chuoi keo. Viec nhan dinh xien keo nha cai hom nay khong chi la chon nhung keo thom nhat, ma la chon nhung keo co do tin cay cao nhat khi dat canh nhau.



Ba Nguyen Tac Vang Trong Xay Dung Xien Keo Chuan Xac



De bien mot y tuong cuoc xien thanh mot chien luoc sinh loi, chung ta can tuan thu ba nguyen tac cot loi sau day, tap trung vao viec tim kiem cac keo nha cai dang tin cay nhat trong ngay.



1. Uu Tien Chat Luong Hon So Luong (Quy Tac Xien Nho)



Sai lam pho bien nhat la co gang nhoi nhet qua nhieu tran dau vao mot ve xien. Mot xien 3-4 tran voi ty le thang thap hon nhieu so voi mot xien 2 tran duoc phan tich ky luong.



Nhan dinh xien keo hom nay nen tap trung vao viec tim kiem 2 hoac toi da 3 tran dau co tinh xac suat thang cao nhat trong ngay. Neu ban tim thay 5 tran dau tiem nang, hay chia chung thanh hai hoac ba ve xien nho thay vi gop chung. Dieu nay giup ban kiem soat rui ro tot hon. Neu mot ve truot, ban van con co hoi thang o ve kia.



2. Ket Hop Keo "Chac An" va Keo "An Day"



Mot chien luoc nhan dinh xien keo nha cai thong minh la can bang giua su an toan va loi nhuan.



Keo Chac An (Keo Nen): Thuong la cac tran dau co su chenh lech lon ve dang cap, loi the san nha vuot troi, hoac cac keo chap/tai xiu ma gioi chuyen mon danh gia gan nhu chac chan. Ty le cuoc thuong o muc thap (vi du: 1.25 – 1.40). Day la nen mong giup "neo" xien cua ban.

Keo An Day (Keo Phu): Day la cac tran dau ma ban co goc nhin khac biet so voi dam dong hoac nhan thay su dich chuyen bat thuong cua keo nha cai. Ty le cuoc cao hon (vi du: 1.60 tro len). Muc tieu cua keo nay la khuech dai loi nhuan khi keo nen da duoc dam bao.



Su ket hop nay giup ve xien cua ban co mot lop bao hiem ngam tu cac keo chac chan.



3. Phan Tich Sau Cac Yeu To Ngoai Le



Khi soi xet cac nhan dinh xien keo nha cai hom nay, dung chi nhin vao lich su doi dau hay phong do gan day. Cac yeu to "ngam" sau day thuong la diem mau chot cho cac bat ngo:



Dong Luc Thi Dau (Motivation): Doi bong nao dang chien dau vi suat tru hang, ve Champions League, hay chi la mot tran giao huu vo thuong vo phat? Dong luc la yeu to manh me hon ca dang cap.

Yeu To Lich Thi Dau (Fixture Congestion): Doi nao vua phai di chuyen xa hoac vua trai qua mot tran dau cang thang giua tuan? Su met moi tich tu co the anh huong nghiem trong den hieu suat o nhung phut cuoi tran.

* Bien Dong Keo Nha Cai: Hay chu y den nhung thay doi dot ngot cua ty le cuoc truoc gio bong lan (Running Odds). Su sut giam manh cua keo cua tren ma khong co ly do ro rang (nhu chan thuong ngoi sao) thuong la tin hieu canh bao hoac dau hieu cua dong tien lon dang do vao mot cua nhat dinh.



Ap Dung Thuc Te: Nhan Dinh Xien Keo Ngay Hom Nay



De ap dung hieu qua, hay bat dau bang viec loc ra 5-7 tran dau tiem nang nhat tu cac giai dau lon. Sau do, su dung bo loc ba nguyen tac tren:



1. Loai bo ngay lap tuc nhung tran dau co qua nhieu thong tin nhieu loan (vi du: chan thuong bat ngo cua 3 cau thu chu chot ngay truoc gio G).

2. Chon ra 2 tran co bien do an toan cao nhat (Keo Nen) va 1 tran co ty le an hap dan nhat ma ban tin rang minh hieu ro boi canh (Keo Phu).

3. Xay dung xien 3: (Keo Nen 1 + Keo Nen 2 + Keo Phu).



Loi Ket



Nhan dinh xien keo nha cai hom nay khong phai la mot cong thuc than thanh, ma la su tong hop giua kien thuc, kinh nghiem va kha nang quan ly rui ro tuyet voi. Hay luon nho rang, trong ca cuoc, su kien nhan va ky luat moi la nguoi ban dong hanh ben vung nhat. Dung de long tham nhan boi loi nhuan che mo ly tri, va ban se thay nhung ve xien duoc xay dung khoa hoc luon mang lai su hai long cao hon bat ky lan dat cuoc may rui nao. Chuc cac ban co nhung lua chon sang suot va chien thang ruc ro!

Xem them: Dom88